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Forecasting Trends for the South-West Monsoon for India in 2024

May 31, 2024 By Sachin Malhotra

According to Bhavishya Phala  Bhaskar, a book of Mundane astrology, when Jupiter moves behind the Sun in transit, it drench the earth with water, i.e., it rains heavily during the rainy season. This year, at the end of the month of May, Jupiter will be behind the Sun in terms of longitudes in the  Taurus sign . This planetary position will create the possibility of good rainfall in the month of June along with the early arrival of monsoon in many states  this year. At the end of May and the first fortnight of June, the conjunction of the auspicious planets Jupiter, Venus and Mercury with the Sun in Taurus sign will create conditions of very heavy rainfall in South India and West Bengal. Along with this, there are chances of earthquakes in the northern and eastern parts of India around the new moon of June 6, due to which there may be loss of life and property at some places. In my article ‘Forecasting Trends for the Summer Season 2024  for India’, published at this blog on the 11th of March 2024 i had forecast an early onset of South West Monsoon over Kerala. I had also made a prediction that during summer season the temperature will be higher than the normal particularly in the month of June due to the transit of Mars from the fiery sign Aries.
Forecasting Trends for the Summer Season 2024 for India
The conjunction of five planets in the earth element sign Taurus will create the possibility of more than normal rainfall in South, West and Central India in the month of June on the New Moon day of May 6th . In North India too, there are chances of thunderstorms, lightning and thunderstorms around the new moon day of June 6th . The South-West  Monsoon may arrive in Goa by June 5th , in Mumbai and Raipur  before June 10th  and in  Nagpur city before May 15th.

Chart 1. Horoscope of New Moon
               6th of June 2024, 18:07 at Delhi
Astrological prediction about South-West Monsoon 2024 for India

In the second week of June 2024 there is a possibility of some unseasonal rainfall in the northern states of India due to the conjunction of five planets in Taurus sign. Out of these five planets 4 are in Rohini Nakshatra which falls under “Pawan Nadi” ruled by the Sun in Sapta Nadi Chakra. This combination can give disastrous flash floods in the hilly areas of North India especially in Uttarakhand. There will be losses of lives and properties in Bihar, Jharkhand, parts of West Bengal and Eastern Uttar Pradesh due to lightening, storm and unseasonal rainfall.

An earthquake is also likely in the month of June, especially around the New Moon, in the area of North and Eastern parts of the country. Five planets (the Sun, the Moon, Mercury, Venus and Jupiter) are in earthy sign Taurus. Saturn and Mars are in earthy Navamsha Taurus. The luminaries (Sun and Moon) are in watery Navamsha Cancer shows these natural calamities.

Since Rohini Nakshatra in Koorma Chakra comes under the central parts of India so there will be an early onset of monsoon in states of Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra this year. The Mumbai, Raipur, Bhopal and Nagpur may receive very good rainfall during 7th of June to the 21st of June.

Chart 2. Horoscope of Sun’s Entry into Ardra Nakshatra

22 June 2024, 00:06 hours at Delhi

Astrological Forecast About South-West Monsoon 2024 for India

Astrological Forecast About South- West Monsoon 2024 for India

Tithi: Shukla Poornima, Vaar: Friday, Nakshatra: Moola, Yoga: Shukla, Karana: Bava

This year the Sun will enter into Ardra Nakshatra (asterism) on the day of Full Moon i.e. Purnima which is considered very auspicious as per the classical text Varsha Prabodha. The week day lord (Vaar Swami) is Venus as the Ardra Pravesh is occurring on Friday. Venus is the watery planet as per the classical texts of astro-meteorology. The day lord, yoga and Karana are all very auspicious. However, at the time of Ardra Pravesh the Moon is in Moola Nakshatra which as per Varsha Prabodha gives disease and fear to men’s and also the weakness. Because of the heavy rainfall there will be spread of viral fever in some parts of the country during monsoon season.

  1. The rising sign at the time of Sun’s entry into Ardra Nakshtra is Pisces which is 100% watery sign. The benefic planets Mercury, Venus and the Moon are in Kendra from the lagna and also the Sun which shows sufficient rainfall as per the long period average in the country. The Navamsha is Cancer which also a full watery sign.
  2. Jupiter is behind the Sun which as per Bhavishya Phala Bhaskar is a very good yoga for the rainfall. Venus and Mercury are ahead of the Sun which is another auspicious yoga for the bountiful rainfall.
  3. However, the lagna is in Paap Kartari Yoga in both Rashi and Navamsha of the Ardra Pravesh chart. This yoga can give destruction to the crops in the initial stages of sowing particularly in southern states of the country during the month of June. Southern and central states can get excess rainfall during the month of June.
  4. Mars will remain behind the Sun throughout the monsoon season (June-September). There will be around 95% to 100% of rainfall foreseen as per the long period average (LPA) . In year 2022 the LPA for the south-west monsoon season (June-September) has been revised to 868.8 mm based on the data from 1971 to 2020.
  5. Monsoon may reach UP and Delhi-NCR early The official date for the onset of monsoon in eastern Uttar Pradesh is 20th of June, in western Uttar Pradesh it is 25th and in Delhi-NCR it is 1st of July. This year the south-west monsoon may drench this region a bit early which will be good for the farmers of Uttar Pradesh in particular. In the last week of June around 28th and 29th there will be very good rainfall in the western Uttar Pradesh. Delhi-NCR may also receive good rainfall around this time. Mercury will enter into watery sign Cancer on the 29th of June will bring very good rainfall in the Delhi-NCR region during the first week of June month.

Chart 3. New Moon

                6 July 2024, 04:27  a.m. at Delhi

Forecasting Trends for the South-West Monsoon 2024 for India

At the time of the New Moon of 6th of July 2024 Venus will be ahead of the Sun in longitude. Mercury is in the next sign to the Sun and Jupiter is behind the Sun which is a good yoga for the rainfall. This will bring very heavy rainfall in Punjab, Haryana, Delhi-NCR and also in Rajasthan. The state of Jammu & Kashmir will also receive good rainfall in the second and third week of July.

Chart 4. Sun’s entry into Cancer Sign

                16 July 2024, 11:19 a.m. at Delhi

Forecasting Trends for the South West Monsoon 2024 for India

In the second week of July there will be good rainfall again due to the Sun’s entry into watery sign Cancer on the 16th of July. But then Mars would be approaching towards Jupiter in Taurus sign. The conjunction of Mars and Jupiter is a yoga for obstruction in the rainfall as per the Bhavishya Phala Bhaskar. The effect of this obstruction will be seen after the 28th of July when Mars will enter into the Rohini Nakshatra.

Mars in Rohini Nakshatra and danger of an earthquake

The conjunction of Mars and Jupiter will take place in Rohini Nakshatra during 28th of July to the 17th of August which will bring very erratic rainfall. There will be higher than the normal rainfall in the central and western parts of the country. While in East and South there might be less than normal rainfall which will give some troubles to the paddy (rice) farmers. Around the time of Sun’s entry into Leo, which is on the 17th of August, there will be a danger of an earthquake in India. The state of Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Goa, Delhi-NCR, Punjab and Haryana will get very good rainfall during the second half of July month.

The conjunction of Moon-Venus-Mercury in the sign Leo will bring very good rainfall in the eastern parts of the country around 6th of August.

Chart 5. Sun’s entry into Leo Sign

               16 August 2024, 19:44 hours at Delhi

Forecasting Trends for the South-West Monsoon 2024 for India

The horoscope of the Sun’s entry into Leo shows some dangerous combinations for an earthquake in many parts of the world. The earthquake prone regions of Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan and Parts of India will get some tremors. The concentration of major planets Jupiter, Mars and Saturn in mutual Kendra in close degrees is a surest indication of a big earthquake which will affect India in the month of August especially during the middle of the month. There will be less than normal rainfall in the eastern states like Odisha, Assam, West Bengal etc in the second half of August month. On the Full Moon (Purnima) of 20th of August there will be more danger of destruction from an earthquake, landslides and cloud burst in the hilly areas of India and Pakistan.

Destructive rainfall will bring losses of lives and properties in Gujarat and Maharashtra in the second fortnight of August month. On the 22nd of August Mercury will move into Cancer sign from Leo in retrograde motion which will bring extremely heavy rainfall in many parts of the country.

Delayed withdrawal of monsoon foreseen

In the month of September, the Sun will enter into Virgo on the 17th and receive the aspect of Jupiter which would be transiting in Taurus sign. This will bring fresh spell of rainfall in the southern peninsular of the country. There will be delayed withdrawal of south-west monsoon from central India due to the aspect of Jupiter on the Sun which would be transiting in Virgo sign in conjunction with Mercury and Ketu bringing some erratic rainfall in the central and southern parts of the country. The state of Bihar and Jharkhand signify by Taurus sign will get good rainfall in the second fortnight of September and also in the first week of October.

Conclusion: As per the planetary directions discussed above there is likely to be an early onset of south-west monsoon over Kerala this year. In the month of June there will be more than the normal rainfall in Southern states, central parts of India and also in hilly region of North India particularly in Uttarakhand. During 1st of June to 16th of July there will be more than normal rainfall in the country. In the month of August-September there could be less than normal rainfall. During the entire south-west monsoon season (June-September) there will be 95% to 100% of rainfall foreseen. The southern and western parts of the country will get more than normal rainfall. There will be a danger of strong earthquakes during the month of June and also in August. The incident of could burst, landslides and flash floods will give heavy losses of lives and properties in UP, Bihar and Uttarakhand during the month of June this year.

Jupiter’s transit from Taurus sign will give good production of milk products as the availability of fodder for the animals will be in abundance  due to good monsoon rains this year.

[Hindi] मानसून की कुंडली से जाने आप के शहर में इस साल कब होगी बरसात !

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Filed Under: Earthquake, Weather Tagged With: astrological predictions of south-west monsoon

Sachin Malhotra is a passionate astrologer and writer. He has created this Vedic Astrology blog to share his published articles in various news papers and astrology journals. You can consult him for a horoscope reading and any other kind of astrological guidance. Read more

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