In my last post on weather forecast with title ‘Forecasting Trends for the Summer Season 2023 for India’, i had predicted less number of heat waves during the summer season this year. As per the Indian Meteorological Department report the country as a whole has received 16% excess rainfall during the period from 1st March 2023 to 17th May 2023. This excess rainfall has been more in the Central India during the month of April this year. I had forecast the onset of pre-monsoon rainfall activity in the Southern Peninsula from the 15th of May onward after the entry of Sun into Taurus sign . At present Sun is about to enter Rohini Nakshatra in Taurus sign on the 25th of May where it will stay till 7th of June. This period of 10 days is known as ‘Dasha Tapa’ in North and Central India when the extreme heat wave bring hot weather conditions. In Southern Peninsular we normally get pre-monsoon and South-West Monsoon rainfall during this period of Sun’s transit from Rohini Nakshatra.
Forecasting Trends for the Summer Season 2023 for India
Interestingly both Indian Meteorological Department and Skymet Weather has forecast a delay in South-West Monsoon this year. IMD has forecast the arrival of South-West Monsoon on the 4th of June, whereas Skymet weather agency has predicted the onset of South-West Monsoon only on the 7th of June in Kerala.
Monsoon Forecast for 2023 : IMD vs Skymet . Check Predictions
In my article published in the June 2023 issue of Express Star Teller Magazine, i had forecast the onset of Monsoon rains over Kerala 2 days before its official date of arrival which at present is 1st of June only.
As per my humble understanding the position of Mercury and Jupiter in Aries just a sign behind the Sun is a classical yoga for good rainfall activity. This yoga has been mention in ‘Bhavishya Phala Bhaskar’. Although Mars is transiting ahead of Sun but it is more than 90 degrees ahead. Also Venus, a watery planet, is also about to join Mars in the sign Cancer. At the time of Full Moon of 4th of June these yoga’s for good rainfall activity has been present as we can see in the horoscope given above. So by the time of 4th of June the IMD may have to declare the onset of South-West Monsoon in Kerala state.
[Hindi] मानसून की कुंडली से जाने , जून से सितम्बर तक कैसे बरसेंगे बादल
Kerala, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and Tamil Nadu will get good rainfall during the fortnight starting from 4th of June. The state of West Bengal and Assam will also get decent rainfall as the sign Aries, indicating North-East, is having benefic planets Mercury and Jupiter.
Ardra Pravesh Kundali for 2023
22 June 2023, 17:49:08 at Delhi
Tithi: Shukla Panchami , Nakshatra: Ashlesha , Yoga: Harshana , Karana : Bava, Vaar: Thursday
The Panchang parameters for Sun’s entry into Ardra Nakshatra are favorable. The Tithi Shukla Panchamai and weekday Thursday is auspicious as per Bhavishya Phala Bhaskar. The Yoga Harshana and Karana Bava is also good though Nakshatra Ashlesha is inauspicious. At the time of Sun’s entry into Ardra a watery sign Scorpio is rising at the ascendant getting the aspect of watery planet Mercury and a dry planet Saturn which shows possibility of an erratic rainfall.
Erratic Rainfall and Destruction of Crops foreseen
In the Ardra Pravesh Kundali Moon is in watery sign Cancer but in Navamsha it goes into Aquarius an airy sign. Moon is in conjunction with lagna and 6th lord Mars. The degree conjunction of Moon with a dry planet Mars in the watery sign indicate a very erratic rainfall. The distribution of rainfall as per time and space will not be normal during the entire South-West Monsoon season (June to September) which is not a good news for the farmers.
The position of Saturn in the 4th house of harvest and agriculture is inauspicious and it get the bad aspect of Mars also. This combination shows destruction of crops due to erratic rainfall. The south-west monsoon will come on its schedule time in most of the southern states and also in north eastern parts of the country due to favorable Mars transit from Cancer, a watery sign, but the distribution of rain will be highly erratic. Then in the month of July the opposition of Mars and Saturn at the axis of Leo and Aquarius shows less than normal rainfall activity. This will give troubles to the farmers in North Indian states resulting into delay in sowing ‘monsoon crops’ (kharif crops) such as rice, maize, corn and peas etc. The production of rice (Paddy) in Punjab and Haryana states will get adversely affected due to poor rainfall in the month of July this year.
As per the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) the benchmark to measure South-West rainfall is 868.6 mm as normal rainfall which is calculated on the basis of rainfall data over a period of 50 years from 1971 to 2020. As per my humble understanding the south-west monsoon will give around 95% of the LPA (long period average) this year.
Timely Entry of Monsoon Rains Foreseen in Delhi-NCR
The official date for the entry of South-West monsoon in Delhi is 1st of July. This year is it likely to hit the capital on the 2nd or 3rd of July when Moon will be in Sagittarius getting the aspect of Jupiter from Aries and Mercury-Sun from Gemini. Moon getting the aspect of benefic planet on the day of ‘Poornima’ (full Moon) is a yoga for very good rainfall as per Bhavishya Phala Bhaskar.
Delhi, Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan and Western-UP will get decent rainfall in the first fortnight of July. The South-West monsoon will cover the entire North India before 15th of July. Venus ahead of Sun is another good yoga for rainfall as per Bhavishya Phala Bhaskar.
Adhimaasa and Erratic Rainfall (18th of July to 16th of August)
This year the lunar month of ‘Shravana’ has ‘Adhikmaas’ i.e. an additional month. When a lunar month do not have a ‘Samkranti of Sun’ then it is called ‘Adhimaasa’ or additional month. The adjustment of ‘Adhimaasa’ and ‘Kshayamaasa’ is done for the reconcilement of solar year of 365 days and lunar year of 354 days. This year an ‘Adhimaasa’ or additional lunar month will come from 18th of July to 16th of August. As per Bhavishya Phala Bhaskar’s ‘Adhikmassa Phalam Adhyay’ if there is an ‘Adhikmaasa’ (additional month) in Shravana then there will be obstruction in rain and losses of lives and properties.
During the period of ‘Adhikmaasa Shravana’ (18 July to 16 August) the rainfall will be below than normal as there will be an opposition of Mars and Saturn at the axis of Leo and Aquarius which are dry sign’s mostly.
An Earthquake Foreseen After Amavasya of 17th of July
Interestingly ‘Karka Samkranti’ will fall on the day of ‘Amavasya’ (No Moon) this year which is classical ‘Khappar Yoga’ as per Bhavishya Phala Bhaskar ‘Samkranti Phalam Adhyay’. This condition can give losses of lives and properties due to natural calamities. There will be a danger of an earthquake and land-slides in the Northern region of Himalayas during mid of July to mid of August this year. During this period there will be less than normal rains in Delhi-NCR, Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Punjab, Bihar and Jharkhand. While central parts of India like Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and some parts of Rajasthan and Gujarat will get more than normal rainfall. An earthquake of more than 6.7 at rector scale can come around the time of Amavasya of 17th of July which may give troubles to the people living in Himalayan region. Mars, Mercury and Venus will be ahead of Sun during this period which is a yoga for erratic rainfall. There will be losses of lives and properties in some parts of West and Central India due to heavy rains.
Chatur-Graha Yoga : Danger for South-East Asia
A conjunction of four planets (Sun, Mercury, Moon and Mars) on the day of Simha Samkranti (Sun’s entry into Leo) is indicating a danger in the South-East direction as per ‘Koorma Chakra’. Planets in ‘Magha, Poorva Phalguni and Uttara-Phalguni’ shows chances of an earthquake in South-East Asia. Malaysia, Philippines and Indonesia may suffer losses of life and properties due to some Tsunami and Earthquake. While in India the state of Orissa will suffer from heavy rainfall as four planets in Leo are getting aspect of Jupiter from Aires.
Heavy rains in Orissa and South-Eastern parts of India will give trouble to the people during last fortnight of August and also in first half of September.
Full Moon Horoscope
31 August 2023, 07:05 am at Delhi
At the time of Full Moon on 31st August 2023 Saturn will be ‘Ati Vakri’ i.e. retrograde motion in direct opposition with Sun which will bring obstruction in rain in the Northern Parts of India. Delhi-NCR, Punjab, Haryana and UP will receive less than normal rainfall in the month of September. Mars will be ahead of Sun which is another yoga for obstruction in rainfall. Bihar, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Tamil Nadu and Kerala will also get less than normal rainfall during the month of September.
Overall, the total rainfall will be around 95% of the Long Period Average with uneven distribution as per time and space during the entire South-West monsoon season.
